Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 20:30
11.6954.7%
X3.7724.5%
24.4320.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
WLDWDWWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Casa Pia
WLLDLWLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.80
Against
6.80
9.10
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
4.00
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

2.50goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.80
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

0.80goals per match
Estoril conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.80
9.10
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.40
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
23.50
Match total
29.30

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.30
On target
3.00
20%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches668
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.7%58.5%+3.9 pp
Draw24.5%24.0%-0.5 pp
Away20.8%17.5%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.870.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.6%
1-110.9%
2-010.2%
1-010.2%
0-06.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.063.93
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=668.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches185
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.0%40.0%–54.2% CI
Draw FT35.1%28.6%–42.3% CI
Away FT17.8%13.0%–24.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals47.0%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.6%
Away41.1%