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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 15:30

Moreirense

vs

Nacional

12.3140.0%
X3.1928.9%
22.9731.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WWWLDLWWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Nacional
LWDDLDLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.40
Against
5.40
9.40
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.30goals per match
Nacional conceded1.50
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.80goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.40
9.40
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
30.20
Match total
25.20

Shots

8.50N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.10
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,371
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.0%40.3%+0.4 pp
Draw28.9%32.0%+3.1 pp
Away31.1%27.6%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.27–1.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-012.3%
0-09.8%
2-19.3%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.22–4.41
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,371.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches488
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.3%26.4%–34.5% CI
Draw FT44.1%39.7%–48.5% CI
Away FT25.6%21.9%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away47.1%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMoreirenseForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMoreirense vs NacionalCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.