Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 15:30
11.7054.3%
X3.5625.9%
24.6819.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alverca
WWLDWLWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
AVS
DLLLLLLDLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
3.10
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.90
Against
6.70
7.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
3.10
2.10
Total goals
3.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Alverca attack

1.00goals per match
AVS conceded3.10
Matchup

AVS attack

0.70goals per match
Alverca conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.70
7.20
Match total
10.30
30%3/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
29.20
Match total
23.10

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.60
On target
2.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches832
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%58.1%+3.7 pp
Draw25.9%24.4%-1.5 pp
Away19.7%17.5%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.680.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.3%
2-112.1%
1-110.9%
2-010.2%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.933.91
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=832.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.530.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches274
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.4%41.6%–53.4% CI
Draw FT36.9%31.4%–42.7% CI
Away FT15.7%11.9%–20.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.7%
2+ goals42.7%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.6%
Away38.0%