Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-03-06 · 20:15
11.7552.8%
X3.5526.0%
24.3721.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
LDWLLWLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Arouca
WLLLDLWWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.00
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.30
Against
4.50
10.90
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.70
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.80goals per match
Arouca conceded2.20
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.40goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.50
10.90
Match total
8.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
32.10
Match total
25.80

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.60
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches619
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.8%58.6%+5.8 pp
Draw26.0%25.4%-0.7 pp
Away21.2%16.0%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.720.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.4%
1-112.0%
2-112.0%
2-011.5%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.944.12
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=619.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches190
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT42.6%35.8%–49.7% CI
Draw FT41.6%34.8%–48.7% CI
Away FT15.8%11.3%–21.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.2%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.1%
Away37.9%