Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 18:00
11.2475.5%
X5.8516.0%
210.978.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWDWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Guimaraes
LDDLDDWDWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.50
Against
3.50
10.70
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.50
10.70
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.60
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
24.50
Match total
29.60

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
6.80
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.5%78.2%+2.7 pp
Draw16.0%17.8%+1.8 pp
Away8.5%4.0%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.6%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

2.550.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-012.9%
2-011.9%
2-111.9%
1-19.9%
3-19.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.243.00
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=100.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.561.0%
Over 10.549.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–16.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals68.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home89.5%
Away31.6%