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Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 18:00

Porto

vs

Nacional

11.2973.0%
X5.4617.2%
29.609.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWDDDWLWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Nacional
LDLLWLLLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.90
Against
6.60
10.00
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Porto attack

1.90goals per match
Nacional conceded1.40
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.80goals per match
Porto conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.60
10.00
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.50
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
30.20
Match total
27.90

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.40
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches218
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.0%76.1%+3.2 pp
Draw17.2%16.5%-0.7 pp
Away9.8%7.3%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

2.32–0.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.4%
1-012.4%
2-011.0%
3-010.1%
1-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.52–3.28
Average total10.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=218.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.7%
Over 9.561.9%
Over 10.550.5%
Over 11.539.0%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.7%44.2%–70.1% CI
Draw FT34.6%23.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT7.7%3.0%–18.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals19.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.1%
Away32.7%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamPortoForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.ComparePorto vs NacionalCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.