Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 18:00
12.7334.5%
X3.0331.1%
22.7334.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
LDLLLLLDLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Santa Clara
LWDWDLWLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Against
6.10
11.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
1.70
Total goals
1.70
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Farense attack

0.50goals per match
Santa Clara conceded0.90
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.80goals per match
Farense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.10
11.70
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.80
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
17.30N=10
30.90
Match total
30.00

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
3.90
On target
2.50
4%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches509
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%32.8%-1.7 pp
Draw31.1%34.4%+3.3 pp
Away34.5%32.8%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.051.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
0-014.1%
0-112.0%
1-010.6%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.724.37
Average total9.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=509.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.4%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.522.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches208
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.9%21.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT47.1%40.4%–53.9% CI
Away FT26.0%20.5%–32.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.4%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals8.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.7%
Away40.4%