Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 18:00
12.5437.0%
X3.3128.4%
22.7134.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
WLDWWWDLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Estrela
LDDLWDLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.40
1.50
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
0%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.50
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.40
Against
6.30
7.50
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
1.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
0%0/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.30goals per match
Estrela conceded1.00
Matchup

Estrela attack

0.40goals per match
Estoril conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.30
7.50
Match total
9.60
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
31.60
Match total
32.30

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.10
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches925
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.0%34.9%-2.1 pp
Draw28.4%28.0%-0.4 pp
Away34.7%37.1%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.261.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
0-110.3%
1-29.4%
1-09.3%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.104.61
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=925.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches295
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.5%25.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT38.0%32.6%–43.6% CI
Away FT31.5%26.5%–37.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away53.6%