Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 18:00
11.9847.5%
X3.3228.3%
23.8824.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AVS
LDDWLDLLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Moreirense
LLDLLLDWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Against
6.10
8.10
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

AVS attack

0.80goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.90
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.00goals per match
AVS conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.10
8.10
Match total
8.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.70
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
28.30
Match total
28.80

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
3.30
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,019
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%45.8%-1.6 pp
Draw28.3%30.2%+1.9 pp
Away24.2%23.9%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.400.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-012.8%
2-19.9%
0-19.7%
0-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.07
Average total9.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,019.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches342
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.4%30.5%–40.6% CI
Draw FT41.2%36.1%–46.5% CI
Away FT23.4%19.2%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals33.6%
3+ goals10.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away40.1%