Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 18:00
12.0046.9%
X3.5126.8%
23.5726.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
WDWDDLDLWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Boavista
DLLLLLLWWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.00
Against
7.00
9.10
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.90goals per match
Boavista conceded1.70
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.80goals per match
Arouca conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.00
9.10
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.30
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
30.50
Match total
26.90

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.30
On target
2.80
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches711
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%46.1%-0.8 pp
Draw26.8%29.0%+2.2 pp
Away26.3%24.9%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.561.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-010.5%
2-19.1%
0-08.6%
2-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.35
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=711.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches226
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.5%28.6%–40.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%36.6%–49.4% CI
Away FT22.6%17.6%–28.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals42.0%
3+ goals16.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away44.7%