Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-16 · 19:00
12.7234.6%
X3.2728.8%
22.5836.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
DWLDDWLLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Gil Vicente
LWDLLLDWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.40
1.70
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.00
Against
5.60
9.10
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.40goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.30
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.00goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.60
9.10
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
27.10
Match total
27.70

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
3.70
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches526
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%32.5%-2.1 pp
Draw28.8%28.5%-0.3 pp
Away36.5%39.0%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS57.2%

Historical average

1.281.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
0-19.5%
1-29.3%
1-08.9%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.085.03
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=526.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%22.2%–36.0% CI
Draw FT39.8%32.5%–47.5% CI
Away FT31.7%25.0%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away53.4%