Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-16 · 19:00
11.9448.7%
X3.5126.9%
23.8624.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
DLLDDWWWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Casa Pia
WWWLLLLDDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.60
9.20
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.40goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.30
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.20goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.60
9.20
Match total
8.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
32.40
Match total
27.60

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.50
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches851
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.7%45.9%-2.7 pp
Draw26.9%27.5%+0.6 pp
Away24.5%26.6%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.561.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-011.2%
2-18.7%
0-18.1%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.28
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=851.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches269
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.9%29.5%–40.8% CI
Draw FT38.3%32.7%–44.2% CI
Away FT26.8%21.8%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals16.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away46.5%