Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 20:30
17.5112.5%
X4.7819.6%
21.3867.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
DLLLLWLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Porto
WLLDWWLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.20
2.00
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.50
Against
3.30
8.80
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.60goals per match
Porto conceded1.10
Matchup

Porto attack

1.20goals per match
Boavista conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.30
8.80
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.60
Match total
6.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
29.60
Match total
27.30

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.30
On target
4.00
5%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.5%10.8%-1.6 pp
Draw19.6%24.2%+4.6 pp
Away67.9%65.0%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

0.722.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.3%
1-112.5%
1-210.0%
0-39.2%
0-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.246.22
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.6%10.3%–36.8% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.1%–49.2% CI
Away FT47.1%31.5%–63.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.4%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals32.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.2%
Away67.6%