Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 18:00
12.4039.2%
X3.2728.8%
22.9432.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
LDDLWDWDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Estoril
LWWWDLDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.40
7.60
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.00goals per matchEstoril conceded1.80Matchup
Estoril attack
1.90goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.40
7.60
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.40
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.90N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
30.30
Match total
29.40
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.30
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches940
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.2%41.7%+2.5 pp
Draw28.8%30.0%+1.2 pp
Away32.0%28.3%-3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.33–1.12
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.5%
1-011.9%
2-19.9%
0-09.1%
0-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.29–4.67
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=940.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.530.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches336
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.3%26.5%–36.4% CI
Draw FT40.2%35.1%–45.5% CI
Away FT28.6%24.0%–33.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals39.9%
3+ goals14.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.2%
Away47.9%