Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 18:00
12.4039.2%
X3.2728.8%
22.9432.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
LDDLWDWDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Estoril
LWWWDLDWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.40
7.60
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.00goals per match
Estoril conceded1.80
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.90goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.40
7.60
Match total
8.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.40
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
30.30
Match total
29.40

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.30
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches940
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.2%41.7%+2.5 pp
Draw28.8%30.0%+1.2 pp
Away32.0%28.3%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.331.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-011.9%
2-19.9%
0-09.1%
0-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.294.67
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=940.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches336
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT31.3%26.5%–36.4% CI
Draw FT40.2%35.1%–45.5% CI
Away FT28.6%24.0%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals39.9%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away47.9%