Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 18:00
11.5759.9%
X3.9723.7%
25.7516.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
DDDWDWWWLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Farense
DWDDLDDLWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.80
Against
6.40
10.30
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.80goals per matchFarense conceded1.30Matchup
Farense attack
1.10goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.80
Corners against
6.40
10.30
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
26.50
Match total
28.30
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.30
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches338
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%59.5%-0.5 pp
Draw23.7%23.7%-0.0 pp
Away16.4%16.9%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS43.8%
Historical average
1.83–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-013.3%
1-111.8%
1-011.2%
3-08.3%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.19–3.55
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=337.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.1%38.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT31.7%23.6%–41.2% CI
Away FT20.2%13.6%–28.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals18.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.5%
Away41.3%