Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 18:00
11.5759.9%
X3.9723.7%
25.7516.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
DDDWDWWWLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Farense
DWDDLDDLWL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.80
Against
6.40
10.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.80goals per match
Farense conceded1.30
Matchup

Farense attack

1.10goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.80
Corners against
6.40
10.30
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
26.50
Match total
28.30

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.30
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches338
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%59.5%-0.5 pp
Draw23.7%23.7%-0.0 pp
Away16.4%16.9%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

1.830.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.3%
1-111.8%
1-011.2%
3-08.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.193.55
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=337.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.1%38.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT31.7%23.6%–41.2% CI
Away FT20.2%13.6%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.5%
Away41.3%