Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 20:30
12.3839.6%
X3.2129.3%
23.0331.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
DDWLLLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Arouca
LLWDWDWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.00
Against
5.10
8.10
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
1.80
Total goals
3.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.60goals per match
Arouca conceded1.70
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.50goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.10
8.10
Match total
10.00
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.10
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
27.30
Match total
25.40

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
2.80
On target
5.10
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.6%39.8%+0.2 pp
Draw29.3%32.7%+3.4 pp
Away31.1%27.5%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.521.5%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.261.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-011.6%
0-010.5%
2-19.2%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.47
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,158.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches430
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.4%24.3%–32.8% CI
Draw FT45.8%41.2%–50.5% CI
Away FT25.8%21.9%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.5%
Away47.4%