Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 18:00
12.1543.7%
X3.4027.6%
23.2828.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWLWWWWWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Sp Lisbon
LDDWDDWWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
2.30
0.80
Conceded
1.00
90%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.80
Against
3.60
11.30
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
2.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
3.70
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.90goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.00
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.30goals per match
Benfica conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
1.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
3.60
11.30
Match total
8.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.30
Match total
6.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
21.60
Match total
28.50

Shots

18.70N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
8.20
On target
6.20
16%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches351
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%42.5%-1.3 pp
Draw27.6%29.6%+2.0 pp
Away28.7%27.9%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.481.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-011.4%
2-19.1%
0-07.4%
0-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.55
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=350.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.554.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.3%28.5%–46.9% CI
Draw FT40.2%31.2%–49.9% CI
Away FT22.5%15.5%–31.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.9%
Away41.2%