Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-05 · 20:15
12.0944.9%
X3.3228.3%
23.5126.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AVS
LLDDWLDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Boavista
WDLLLLLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Against
7.30
7.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

AVS attack

0.90goals per match
Boavista conceded1.70
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.80goals per match
AVS conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.30
7.60
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
27.90
Match total
26.10

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.40
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches757
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%43.3%-1.6 pp
Draw28.3%32.0%+3.7 pp
Away26.8%24.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.371.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-010.8%
0-010.7%
2-110.6%
2-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.17
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=757.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches281
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.9%30.6%–41.7% CI
Draw FT43.1%37.4%–48.9% CI
Away FT21.0%16.6%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away42.0%