Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 20:30
11.1283.8%
X8.0111.7%
220.694.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
LWWWWDWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLWDLLLDWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.40
1.30
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.50
Against
5.00
10.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.10goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.40
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.10goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
90%9/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.00
10.60
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.00
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
24.80
Match total
29.40

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
6.90
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.8%92.6%+8.9 pp
Draw11.7%4.4%-7.3 pp
Away4.5%2.9%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.577.9%
Over 3.554.4%
BTTS38.2%

Historical average

3.120.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-013.2%
3-013.2%
1-011.8%
3-28.8%
5-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

8.512.13
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.561.8%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.538.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT88.2%65.7%–96.7% CI
Draw FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–18.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.1%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals35.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home94.1%
Away29.4%