Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 20:30
112.637.5%
X7.4212.7%
21.1879.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
DWLDWWWDLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Benfica
DWLLWWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.10
1.30
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.60
Against
2.90
8.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.20goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.10goals per match
Estoril conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
2.90
8.50
Match total
9.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
31.50
Match total
26.30

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
4.10
On target
6.10
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.5%7.7%+0.2 pp
Draw12.7%12.8%+0.1 pp
Away79.8%79.5%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.559.0%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

0.743.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-110.3%
1-310.3%
0-410.3%
1-47.7%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

2.958.03
Average total10.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.546.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away80.0%