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Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:30

Nacional

vs

Guimaraes

14.1122.9%
X3.5826.3%
21.8550.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
WLWWLDWWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Guimaraes
LLDDLDDWDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
6.20N=10
5.10
Against
3.80
9.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.40goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.00goals per match
Nacional conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.80
9.90
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.20
Match total
5.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
16.40N=10
26.30
Match total
30.40

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.90
On target
4.20
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches324
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.9%21.6%-1.3 pp
Draw26.3%22.2%-4.1 pp
Away50.8%56.2%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

0.91–1.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.0%
0-211.7%
1-211.1%
1-110.8%
1-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.35–5.39
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=324.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches87
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%16.4%–34.1% CI
Draw FT28.7%20.3%–39.0% CI
Away FT47.1%37.0%–57.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.9%
Away57.5%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamGuimaraesForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareNacional vs GuimaraesCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.