Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:30
12.5536.8%
X3.2029.4%
22.7833.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
WLDLLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Famalicao
LDDLWWLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.40
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.30
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.70
Against
5.30
11.20
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
1.50
Total goals
3.20
30%3/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Farense attack

0.40goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.80
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.40goals per match
Farense conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.30
11.20
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
30.70
Match total
27.50

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.50
On target
4.70
3%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches876
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%32.9%-4.0 pp
Draw29.4%34.5%+5.1 pp
Away33.8%32.6%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.171.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
1-010.5%
0-110.0%
0-09.7%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.104.64
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=875.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches285
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.7%22.8%–33.2% CI
Draw FT45.6%39.9%–51.4% CI
Away FT26.7%21.9%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals10.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.0%
Away46.3%