Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-05-02 · 20:15
11.3271.6%
X5.2118.1%
29.1910.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWDDDWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Moreirense
LLLDLLLDWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.20
Against
6.10
10.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.00goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.70
Matchup

Moreirense attack

0.90goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.10
10.30
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
29.20
Match total
29.50

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.90
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.6%79.7%+8.2 pp
Draw18.1%12.4%-5.7 pp
Away10.3%7.8%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.537.3%
BTTS39.9%

Historical average

2.320.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.7%
1-015.0%
2-19.2%
3-08.5%
4-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.132.91
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT74.4%59.8%–85.1% CI
Draw FT20.9%11.4%–35.2% CI
Away FT4.7%1.3%–15.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals20.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.7%
Away18.6%