Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-29 · 20:30
12.0445.9%
X3.2728.6%
23.6825.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
DDWDWWWLWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Estoril
DLWWWDLDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.70
0.80
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.30
Against
4.30
8.50
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.40goals per match
Estoril conceded1.90
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.80goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.30
8.50
Match total
7.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.20
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
16.00N=10
25.10
Match total
30.70

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.20
On target
4.10
14%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches665
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%45.6%-0.3 pp
Draw28.6%28.9%+0.2 pp
Away25.4%25.6%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.390.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-013.4%
0-110.1%
2-19.5%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.09
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=665.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches219
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.4%31.3%–44.0% CI
Draw FT40.6%34.3%–47.3% CI
Away FT21.9%16.9%–27.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.0%
Away40.6%