Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 20:30
112.407.6%
X6.2615.0%
21.2177.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
DDLLLLWLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WLDDWDDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
2.20
1.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.40
Against
3.30
8.90
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.70goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.20
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.20goals per match
Boavista conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.30
8.90
Match total
7.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.60
Match total
6.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
29.20
Match total
29.00

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
3.70
On target
5.60
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home7.6%2.5%-5.1 pp
Draw15.0%7.5%-7.5 pp
Away77.5%90.0%+12.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

0.472.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-220.0%
0-315.0%
1-210.0%
0-110.0%
1-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

2.737.00
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away90.0%