Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 18:00
11.5361.0%
X4.1022.8%
25.7316.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WDDDWDWWWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Rio Ave
WLLDWDLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.90
Against
5.10
10.40
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.90goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.00
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.10
10.40
Match total
8.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.80
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
27.10
Match total
30.00

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.20
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches399
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.0%61.4%+0.4 pp
Draw22.8%22.1%-0.7 pp
Away16.3%16.5%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.920.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.3%
1-011.0%
1-110.5%
2-110.0%
3-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.63
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=399.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.4%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.0%39.4%–58.7% CI
Draw FT33.0%24.6%–42.7% CI
Away FT18.0%11.7%–26.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.0%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.0%
Away45.0%