Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 18:00
11.0887.2%
X10.479.0%
224.483.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWLWWWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
AVS
DDDLLDWLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.80
90%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.60
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.60
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.70goals per match
AVS conceded1.80
Matchup

AVS attack

0.70goals per match
Benfica conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.70
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
21.60
Match total
29.40

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
7.80
On target
2.10
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home87.2%92.3%+5.1 pp
Draw9.0%5.1%-3.9 pp
Away3.8%2.6%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.548.7%
BTTS41.0%

Historical average

3.030.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-020.5%
4-010.3%
5-010.3%
2-010.3%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

8.562.36
Average total10.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT92.9%68.5%–98.7% CI
Draw FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–21.5% CI

Remaining goals

2.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals78.6%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away28.6%