Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 18:00
12.3140.8%
X3.1230.2%
23.2529.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
WDDWLLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Farense
DDWDDLDDLW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.60
Against
6.40
8.90
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.70goals per match
Farense conceded1.30
Matchup

Farense attack

1.20goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.40
8.90
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.40
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.50
Match total
28.40

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
2.90
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%42.2%+1.4 pp
Draw30.2%30.8%+0.6 pp
Away29.0%26.9%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.9%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.281.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-012.8%
0-09.7%
2-09.7%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.104.30
Average total9.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,157.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.545.4%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches409
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.0%29.6%–38.7% CI
Draw FT42.8%38.1%–47.6% CI
Away FT23.2%19.4%–27.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals39.9%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away44.0%