Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 15:30
11.9248.7%
X3.2428.9%
24.1822.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
WWLDLWLDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Arouca
DLLWDWDWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.80
Against
5.20
8.20
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
1.70
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
0.80goals per matchArouca conceded1.50Matchup
Arouca attack
1.50goals per matchSanta Clara conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.20
8.20
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.40
Match total
5.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.60N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
31.30
Match total
25.80
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.80
On target
4.70
6%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches607
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.7%47.4%-1.3 pp
Draw28.9%32.5%+3.6 pp
Away22.4%20.1%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
1.40–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.8%
1-014.7%
0-010.9%
2-08.9%
2-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.33–3.86
Average total9.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=606.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.533.5%
Over 11.524.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches223
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.1%32.0%–44.6% CI
Draw FT43.0%36.7%–49.6% CI
Away FT18.8%14.2%–24.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away38.6%