Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 15:30
11.9248.7%
X3.2428.9%
24.1822.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
WWLDLWLDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Arouca
DLLWDWDWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.80
Against
5.20
8.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
1.70
Total goals
3.00
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.80goals per match
Arouca conceded1.50
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.50goals per match
Santa Clara conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.20
8.20
Match total
10.40
20%2/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.40
Match total
5.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
31.30
Match total
25.80

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.80
On target
4.70
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches607
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.7%47.4%-1.3 pp
Draw28.9%32.5%+3.6 pp
Away22.4%20.1%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS47.1%

Historical average

1.400.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
1-014.7%
0-010.9%
2-08.9%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.333.86
Average total9.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=606.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.533.5%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches223
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.1%32.0%–44.6% CI
Draw FT43.0%36.7%–49.6% CI
Away FT18.8%14.2%–24.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away38.6%