Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 20:30
15.3917.4%
X3.9423.8%
21.6058.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WWDDDWDWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Benfica
WDWLLWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.00
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
6.80N=10
3.00
Against
2.70
10.70
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

2.00goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
3.00
Corners against
2.70
10.70
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.30
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
28.20
Match total
26.60

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
5.00
On target
6.20
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.4%12.4%-5.1 pp
Draw23.8%20.6%-3.2 pp
Away58.7%67.0%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS54.6%

Historical average

0.881.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.4%
1-214.4%
1-313.4%
1-110.3%
0-210.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.555.75
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.540.2%
Over 10.528.9%
Over 11.520.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.5%4.0%–29.0% CI
Draw FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Away FT57.7%38.9%–74.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.3%
Away73.1%