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Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 18:00

Arouca

vs

Estrela

11.9548.2%
X3.3128.4%
24.0023.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
LLWDWDDLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Estrela
LLLDDLWDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.50
1.30
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
10%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.60
Against
6.90
10.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.90goals per match
Estrela conceded1.30
Matchup

Estrela attack

0.50goals per match
Arouca conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.90
10.50
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
29.40
Match total
32.40

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.20
On target
2.70
8%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,057
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%47.7%-0.5 pp
Draw28.4%30.5%+2.1 pp
Away23.5%21.9%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.47–0.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
1-012.4%
2-110.4%
0-09.6%
2-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.60–4.09
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,057.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches350
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.7%30.9%–40.9% CI
Draw FT42.0%36.9%–47.2% CI
Away FT22.3%18.2%–26.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away39.4%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamAroucaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamEstrelaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareArouca vs EstrelaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.