Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 15:30
12.3739.7%
X3.1230.1%
23.1130.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
DWLWWLDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLLWDLLLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.60
1.10
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.80
Against
4.70
10.10
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.40goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.60
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.90goals per match
Nacional conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.70
10.10
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
27.20
Match total
30.70

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
5.00
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%38.9%-0.7 pp
Draw30.1%32.4%+2.2 pp
Away30.2%28.7%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.520.4%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.211.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-012.5%
0-011.2%
0-19.0%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.43
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,140.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches440
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.2%26.1%–34.7% CI
Draw FT44.5%40.0%–49.2% CI
Away FT25.2%21.4%–29.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away45.5%