Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 15:30
12.9432.0%
X3.1230.2%
22.4937.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AVS
LLLDDWLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Casa Pia
DLWWWLLLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.70
Against
5.90
7.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

AVS attack

0.80goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.60
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.30goals per match
AVS conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.90
7.40
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
27.30
Match total
28.30

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.20
On target
3.00
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches339
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.0%30.4%-1.6 pp
Draw30.2%32.2%+2.0 pp
Away37.8%37.5%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

1.011.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
0-113.6%
0-012.7%
1-09.4%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.714.64
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=339.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.9%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.7%17.2%–31.6% CI
Draw FT48.9%40.5%–57.3% CI
Away FT27.5%20.6%–35.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.2%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals9.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away48.9%