Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 20:30
11.2376.1%
X5.8016.1%
212.087.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WLWWWWDWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Moreirense
WLLLDLLLDW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Against
6.10
11.40
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.30goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.40
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.00goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.10
11.40
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
25.10
Match total
30.10

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
6.70
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.1%76.8%+0.7 pp
Draw16.1%18.2%+2.0 pp
Away7.7%5.1%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

2.320.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.2%
1-012.1%
3-111.1%
3-010.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.702.90
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.523.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.2%41.0%–80.9% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–16.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home89.5%
Away31.6%