Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 18:00
11.4664.2%
X4.3621.5%
26.5514.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWWDDDWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Famalicao
WLDDLWWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.20
Against
5.30
10.00
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.80
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.00goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.80
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.60goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.30
10.00
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
28.50
Match total
27.40

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.60
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.2%68.1%+3.9 pp
Draw21.5%19.2%-2.3 pp
Away14.3%12.6%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS47.3%

Historical average

1.940.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.6%
1-111.5%
2-111.0%
2-011.0%
3-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.333.37
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.3%49.3%–75.3% CI
Draw FT24.5%14.6%–38.1% CI
Away FT12.2%5.7%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals30.6%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.5%
Away36.7%