Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 15:30
12.8433.1%
X3.0630.7%
22.6036.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
DWDWLDDWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Santa Clara
LWLWDWDLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.70
1.90
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
20%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.90
Against
5.70
8.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
1.90
Goals conceded
0.90
3.50
Total goals
1.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.60goals per match
Santa Clara conceded0.90
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.70goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.70
8.40
Match total
8.90
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.80
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
17.60N=10
27.40
Match total
29.70

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.70
On target
2.60
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches480
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%32.9%-0.2 pp
Draw30.7%31.9%+1.1 pp
Away36.2%35.2%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS44.8%

Historical average

1.021.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
0-013.8%
0-112.5%
1-010.0%
2-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.414.55
Average total8.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=480.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.5%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.530.4%
Over 11.520.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches193
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.5%22.6%–35.2% CI
Draw FT46.6%39.7%–53.7% CI
Away FT24.9%19.3%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.8%
2+ goals30.6%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.1%
Away42.0%