Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 20:30
11.9747.7%
X3.2329.1%
24.0623.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WWLDDLWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Rio Ave
LWLLDWDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
8.20
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.40goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.50
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.80goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
8.20
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.50
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
31.40
Match total
28.30

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches907
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%46.1%-1.6 pp
Draw29.1%30.5%+1.4 pp
Away23.2%23.4%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.390.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-013.1%
0-010.3%
2-19.7%
0-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.07
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=906.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches314
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.0%30.0%–40.5% CI
Draw FT43.9%38.6%–49.5% CI
Away FT21.0%16.9%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.5%
Away40.1%