Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 20:30
11.9747.7%
X3.2329.1%
24.0623.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
WWLDDLWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Rio Ave
LWLLDWDLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
8.20
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.40goals per matchRio Ave conceded1.50Matchup
Rio Ave attack
0.80goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
8.20
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.50
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.20N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
31.40
Match total
28.30
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches907
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%46.1%-1.6 pp
Draw29.1%30.5%+1.4 pp
Away23.2%23.4%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.39–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
1-013.1%
0-010.3%
2-19.7%
0-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.52–4.07
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=906.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches314
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.0%30.0%–40.5% CI
Draw FT43.9%38.6%–49.5% CI
Away FT21.0%16.9%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.5%
Away40.1%