Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 18:00
11.1581.6%
X7.5112.5%
215.905.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWLWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Arouca
LDLLWDWDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.30
Against
4.70
9.70
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.70
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

3.00goals per match
Arouca conceded1.70
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.40goals per match
Benfica conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.70
9.70
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
5.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
22.00
Match total
27.30

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
8.40
On target
4.60
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.6%82.5%+0.9 pp
Draw12.5%11.3%-1.2 pp
Away5.9%6.3%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.542.5%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.690.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.3%
3-011.3%
2-110.0%
3-18.8%
1-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

8.802.85
Average total11.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.8%
Over 9.572.5%
Over 10.561.3%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.3%
Away50.0%