Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 18:00
15.7216.4%
X3.7425.1%
21.6158.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
WWWLDLWLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sp Lisbon
WWLDDWDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.40
0.90
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.00
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.90
Against
3.40
8.60
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
3.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

1.00goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.20
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.40goals per match
Santa Clara conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.40
8.60
Match total
8.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.40
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.40N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
31.70
Match total
27.80

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
16.60N=10
5.00
On target
6.50
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.4%14.8%-1.6 pp
Draw25.1%27.8%+2.6 pp
Away58.4%57.4%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.801.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.5%
0-213.0%
1-111.1%
1-29.3%
0-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.695.30
Average total8.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.531.5%
Over 11.520.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.5%
Away70.6%