Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-12 · 15:30
12.7634.0%
X3.1130.2%
22.6335.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
LDDLLLLWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Nacional
LLLDLLWLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.60
1.70
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.90
Against
7.40
8.40
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.70goals per match
Nacional conceded1.60
Matchup

Nacional attack

0.60goals per match
Boavista conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.40
8.40
Match total
11.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.70
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
29.10
Match total
27.90

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.30
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches969
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.0%29.8%-4.2 pp
Draw30.2%32.4%+2.2 pp
Away35.7%37.8%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.101.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
0-111.5%
0-010.7%
1-08.9%
1-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.864.85
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=969.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches334
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT26.0%21.6%–31.0% CI
Draw FT44.3%39.1%–49.7% CI
Away FT29.6%25.0%–34.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.8%
Away47.9%