Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-07 · 20:15
11.8750.4%
X3.4127.6%
24.2822.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
DDWDWLDDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Boavista
LDWDLLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.70
1.80
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Against
6.90
9.10
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.80
Goals conceded
2.00
3.50
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.70goals per match
Boavista conceded2.00
Matchup

Boavista attack

0.70goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.90
9.10
Match total
9.60
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.00
Match total
5.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
27.70
Match total
26.50

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.10
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches767
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.4%51.0%+0.6 pp
Draw27.6%28.3%+0.7 pp
Away22.0%20.7%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.520.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.6%
1-113.2%
2-111.2%
0-08.7%
2-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.743.99
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=767.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches250
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.6%31.8%–43.7% CI
Draw FT41.6%35.7%–47.8% CI
Away FT20.8%16.2%–26.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.8%
Away41.6%