Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-07 · 18:45
12.5936.3%
X3.1130.2%
22.8133.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
WLWLDLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Casa Pia
LDLWWWLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.20
Against
5.10
10.80
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
1.80
Total goals
3.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Farense attack

0.60goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.80
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.30goals per match
Farense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.10
10.80
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.10
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
28.90
Match total
26.50

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.20
On target
3.30
5%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches512
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%32.8%-3.5 pp
Draw30.2%35.4%+5.1 pp
Away33.5%31.8%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.2%
BTTS47.1%

Historical average

1.071.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
0-013.7%
0-113.1%
1-011.1%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.764.38
Average total9.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=512.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.9%
Over 9.546.1%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.522.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches199
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.1%23.3%–35.8% CI
Draw FT45.7%39.0%–52.7% CI
Away FT25.1%19.6%–31.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.8%
2+ goals30.7%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.7%
Away41.2%