Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 20:30
12.8832.7%
X3.2728.8%
22.4538.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Porto
WWWWWWDDDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Benfica
WWDWLLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.80
0.40
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
7.00N=10
3.80
Against
2.80
10.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.80
0.40
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Porto attack

2.30goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.80goals per match
Porto conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
7.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
2.80
10.20
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.10
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
28.10
Match total
25.30

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
6.00
On target
6.40
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches474
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%29.7%-3.0 pp
Draw28.8%26.8%-2.0 pp
Away38.5%43.5%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.141.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
0-112.7%
1-09.5%
2-18.2%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.915.09
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=474.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches167
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.5%21.3%–34.8% CI
Draw FT33.5%26.8%–41.0% CI
Away FT38.9%31.9%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.1%
Away56.3%