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Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 18:00

Nacional

vs

Estrela

12.0945.1%
X3.1829.6%
23.7225.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
WDWLWWLDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Estrela
LLLLDDLWDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.40
0.90
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
0.80
50%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.90
Against
6.20
9.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.60goals per match
Estrela conceded1.60
Matchup

Estrela attack

0.40goals per match
Nacional conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.90
Corners against
6.20
9.70
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.00
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
27.20
Match total
32.40

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.00
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches291
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.1%47.8%+2.7 pp
Draw29.6%27.1%-2.5 pp
Away25.3%25.1%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS46.0%

Historical average

1.34–0.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.8%
0-011.3%
2-110.0%
1-110.0%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.45–3.87
Average total9.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=291.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.522.7%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches110
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.5%35.6%–53.9% CI
Draw FT36.4%28.0%–45.7% CI
Away FT19.1%12.8%–27.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.5%
Away30.9%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamEstrelaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareNacional vs EstrelaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.