Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 15:30
12.5237.3%
X3.0430.9%
22.9631.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gil Vicente
WLWDDWLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Moreirense
LWLLLDLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.10
Against
5.60
9.30
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.10goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.60
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.00goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.60
9.30
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.80
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
27.00
Match total
31.70

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.10
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches304
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.3%35.5%-1.8 pp
Draw30.9%32.9%+2.0 pp
Away31.8%31.6%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.111.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
0-011.8%
1-011.5%
0-111.5%
2-19.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.774.45
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=304.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.519.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.5%21.6%–38.8% CI
Draw FT42.9%33.8%–52.4% CI
Away FT27.6%20.0%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.7%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.8%
Away42.9%