Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-06 · 15:30
12.5237.3%
X3.0430.9%
22.9631.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gil Vicente
WLWDDWLLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Moreirense
LWLLLDLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.10
Against
5.60
9.30
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
1.10goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.60Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.00goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.60
9.30
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.80
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
27.00
Match total
31.70
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.10
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches304
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.3%35.5%-1.8 pp
Draw30.9%32.9%+2.0 pp
Away31.8%31.6%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.517.1%
BTTS49.7%
Historical average
1.11–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
0-011.8%
1-011.5%
0-111.5%
2-19.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.77–4.45
Average total9.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=304.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.519.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.5%21.6%–38.8% CI
Draw FT42.9%33.8%–52.4% CI
Away FT27.6%20.0%–36.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.7%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals17.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.8%
Away42.9%