Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-05 · 18:00
12.4738.1%
X3.2229.2%
22.8832.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
DLLWDWDDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Famalicao
DWLDDLWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.60
Against
6.10
10.70
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.10
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

0.90goals per match
Famalicao conceded1.80
Matchup

Famalicao attack

1.50goals per match
Arouca conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.10
10.70
Match total
11.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
28.20
Match total
27.10

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.60
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches692
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.1%35.4%-2.7 pp
Draw29.2%30.9%+1.7 pp
Away32.7%33.7%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.231.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.6%
1-010.4%
0-19.8%
2-18.4%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.244.60
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=691.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches224
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.1%22.6%–34.3% CI
Draw FT42.0%35.7%–48.5% CI
Away FT29.9%24.3%–36.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals11.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away50.9%