Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-04 · 20:15
12.9432.1%
X3.1130.4%
22.5237.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AVS
DLLLDDWLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Estoril
LLDLWWWDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

2.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.70
Against
5.00
7.60
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
2.40
Total goals
3.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

AVS attack

0.80goals per match
Estoril conceded2.10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.50goals per match
AVS conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.90N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.00
7.60
Match total
8.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.30
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
26.70
Match total
27.90

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.10
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches435
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.1%28.7%-3.4 pp
Draw30.4%32.6%+2.3 pp
Away37.5%38.6%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.021.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
0-113.6%
0-012.6%
2-18.5%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.774.71
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=435.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches169
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT22.5%16.8%–29.4% CI
Draw FT48.5%41.1%–56.0% CI
Away FT29.0%22.7%–36.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.5%
2+ goals33.1%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.4%
Away50.3%