Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-02 · 20:15
11.1184.6%
X8.5810.9%
220.824.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benfica
WWWWWLWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Farense
DLDDWDDLDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
3.20
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.20
90%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.10
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.10
Against
6.80
10.10
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.80
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benfica attack
3.20goals per matchFarense conceded1.20Matchup
Farense attack
0.90goals per matchBenfica conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.80
10.10
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.60
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
21.00
Match total
27.40
Shots
18.80N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
8.30
On target
3.30
17%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.6%93.8%+9.2 pp
Draw10.9%3.1%-7.8 pp
Away4.5%3.1%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS42.2%
Historical average
2.97–0.61
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.6%
1-012.5%
5-010.9%
2-110.9%
3-29.4%
Comparable corner averages
8.50–2.25
Average total10.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.565.6%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.534.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT92.9%68.5%–98.7% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–21.5% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.93
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home92.9%
Away21.4%