Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-02 · 20:15
11.1184.6%
X8.5810.9%
220.824.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWWWLWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Farense
DLDDWDDLDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

3.20
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.20
90%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.10
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.10
Against
6.80
10.10
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.80
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

3.20goals per match
Farense conceded1.20
Matchup

Farense attack

0.90goals per match
Benfica conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.80
10.10
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.60
Match total
5.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
21.00
Match total
27.40

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
8.30
On target
3.30
17%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.6%93.8%+9.2 pp
Draw10.9%3.1%-7.8 pp
Away4.5%3.1%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS42.2%

Historical average

2.970.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.6%
1-012.5%
5-010.9%
2-110.9%
3-29.4%

Comparable corner averages

8.502.25
Average total10.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.565.6%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT92.9%68.5%–98.7% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–21.5% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home92.9%
Away21.4%