Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 20:30
13.5426.5%
X3.0930.3%
22.1743.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WWWLDDLWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Guimaraes
DDLLDDLDDW
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
6.70N=10
5.10
Against
4.50
8.50
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded1.20
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.00goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.50
8.50
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.10
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.10N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
31.20
Match total
30.40

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.00
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.5%29.4%+2.9 pp
Draw30.3%26.1%-4.2 pp
Away43.2%44.4%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS41.8%

Historical average

0.961.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.3%
1-011.1%
1-19.8%
0-09.8%
0-29.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.774.96
Average total8.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.3%
Over 9.538.6%
Over 10.524.2%
Over 11.516.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%10.9%–33.8% CI
Draw FT37.8%25.1%–52.4% CI
Away FT42.2%29.0%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

0.96

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals22.2%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away46.7%