Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-30 · 18:00
16.1215.4%
X4.0723.1%
21.5361.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
LWDWLDWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Porto
WLDWLLDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.10
Against
3.00
10.50
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.50goals per match
Porto conceded1.30
Matchup

Porto attack

1.60goals per match
Estoril conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.00
10.50
Match total
7.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.20
Match total
6.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
31.10
Match total
25.60

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.30
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.4%12.3%-3.0 pp
Draw23.1%21.9%-1.2 pp
Away61.5%65.8%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS42.5%

Historical average

0.711.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.8%
0-212.3%
1-19.6%
0-08.2%
0-38.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.275.44
Average total8.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.3%
Over 9.538.4%
Over 10.523.3%
Over 11.516.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%2.5%–27.8% CI
Draw FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Away FT54.5%34.7%–73.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home22.7%
Away68.2%